Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.474003e-03 0.001647 0.001821 0.002009 0.002206 0.002406 0.002623
2025-02-23 1.140492e-03 0.001382 0.001635 0.001915 0.002217 0.002530 0.002877
2025-03-02 8.857986e-04 0.001172 0.001483 0.001838 0.002229 0.002643 0.003111
2025-03-09 6.870412e-04 0.001003 0.001358 0.001777 0.002249 0.002757 0.003340
2025-03-16 5.403295e-04 0.000876 0.001270 0.001746 0.002295 0.002894 0.003590
2025-03-23 4.663722e-04 0.000828 0.001266 0.001808 0.002441 0.003140 0.003959
2025-03-30 3.790774e-04 0.000753 0.001223 0.001817 0.002523 0.003312 0.004244
2025-04-06 3.198556e-04 0.000707 0.001210 0.001860 0.002641 0.003523 0.004570
2025-04-13 2.849943e-04 0.000690 0.001231 0.001941 0.002803 0.003782 0.004951
2025-04-20 2.029946e-04 0.000591 0.001139 0.001878 0.002790 0.003838 0.005098
2025-04-27 1.334899e-04 0.000497 0.001045 0.001806 0.002761 0.003871 0.005217
2025-05-04 1.091202e-04 0.000474 0.001047 0.001855 0.002878 0.004073 0.005528
2025-05-11 6.251149e-05 0.000406 0.000994 0.001851 0.002956 0.004260 0.005860
2025-05-18 1.913656e-05 0.000311 0.000890 0.001775 0.002943 0.004341 0.006072
2025-05-25 7.369411e-07 0.000233 0.000799 0.001710 0.002941 0.004434 0.006299
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000170 0.000721 0.001657 0.002952 0.004541 0.006543
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000125 0.000666 0.001632 0.002995 0.004687 0.006832
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000112 0.000670 0.001695 0.003155 0.004976 0.007291
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000086 0.000642 0.001706 0.003244 0.005177 0.007646
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000072 0.000635 0.001749 0.003375 0.005430 0.008061
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000067 0.000652 0.001829 0.003557 0.005745 0.008552
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000037 0.000585 0.001768 0.003544 0.005815 0.008746
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000015 0.000516 0.001698 0.003514 0.005860 0.008908